South Coast Wolves vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BRI
0 - 1
SOU
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 1
ADE
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
PAP
4 - 3
SOU
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SYD
5 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 2
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRI
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |