South Coast Wolves vs Newcastle Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
BRI
2 - 1
SOU
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 0
ADE
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
SYD
3 - 3
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 2
MEL
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
NCB
0 - 2
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 1
NCB
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
NCB
1 - 3
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
BRI
6 - 1
NCB
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1996 |
NCB
6 - 1
WAD
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 1
NCB
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |