South Coast Wolves vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 5
SYD
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 6
PER
40%
25%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SFC
3 - 0
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
ADE
2 - 1
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 1
SYD
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 3
SFC
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
SYD
2 - 0
MEL
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
58%
22%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 1
MEL
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |