South Coast Wolves vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
NCB
0 - 2
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 1
BRI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 3
WAD
33%
26%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 0
MAR
26%
25%
50%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
MEL
5 - 0
CCO
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
ADE
5 - 0
MEL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
MEL
5 - 1
GIF
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
SYD
2 - 4
MEL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
NCB
1 - 4
MEL
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |