South Coast Wolves vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1999 |
NZK
2 - 4
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 0
SFC
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
NZK
3 - 3
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SYD
1 - 1
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
SOU
0 - 4
SYD
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
GIF
0 - 1
SYD
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1999 |
PAP
1 - 1
GIF
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
GIF
1 - 0
NCB
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 0
GIF
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
GIF
1 - 1
SYD
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |