South Coast Wolves vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
SOU
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
4 - 2
CCO
80%
14%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SYD
2 - 1
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 1
BRI
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1998 |
SFC
1 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 1
MEL
29%
25%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CSC
3 - 0
GIF
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 3
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
SYD
0 - 0
GIF
56%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |