South Coast Wolves vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
PER
3 - 1
SOU
67%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 0
WAD
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 1
SOU
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 2
MAR
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 0
SOU
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 4
BRI
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
ADE
1 - 0
CCO
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 3
SYD
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
GIF
0 - 0
CCO
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
CCO
2 - 2
CWA
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |