Dunedin City Royals vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
28%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin City Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCR
4 - 5
CAS
9%
15%
76%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 2
SCR
31%
21%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 2
SUF
86%
10%
5%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NOM
2 - 4
SCR
24%
20%
56%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
SCR
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 2
SUF
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NOM
3 - 5
NSF
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COA
1 - 1
NSF
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 2
FER
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NSF
0 - 5
CHR
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |