Dunedin City Royals vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin City Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 3
COA
62%
19%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CHR
4 - 1
SCR
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 0
MOS
46%
21%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CHR
3 - 4
SCR
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
5 - 0
SCR
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 3
CHR
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 3
FER
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
CAS
4%
12%
84%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
NSF
3 - 3
FER
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |