South China AA vs Tai Chung analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
SCA
3 - 1
SHS
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
SCA
0 - 3
CHO
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
PER
4 - 2
SCA
20%
20%
60%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 3
SCA
23%
21%
56%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 3
SCA
36%
25%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tai Chung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
KFC
7 - 0
TCS
79%
15%
7%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TCS
0 - 1
CAA
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
WTP
3 - 1
TCS
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
PFC
7 - 1
TCS
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TCS
4 - 2
HON
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |