South China AA vs Shatin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SCA
3 - 0
HOI
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SCA
2 - 4
CAA
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SCA
4 - 1
WON
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAA
2 - 2
SCA
28%
23%
50%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
EAD
1 - 2
SCA
22%
21%
57%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Shatin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 4
KWL
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 4
SNG
89%
8%
4%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EAD
0 - 3
SHA
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
SKU
86%
10%
5%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ISK
3 - 0
SHA
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |