South China AA vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
SCA
3 - 1
PAH
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BIU
1 - 3
SCA
19%
20%
61%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SCA
0 - 0
BIU
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SCA
2 - 1
SUN
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
PAH
0 - 1
SCA
30%
23%
47%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ISK
0 - 3
KFC
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
JOH
2 - 0
KFC
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
KFC
3 - 1
WTP
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
WON
0 - 2
KFC
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BIU
0 - 5
KFC
23%
25%
53%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |