South China AA vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
VSC
0 - 0
SCA
12%
18%
70%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
SCA
2 - 3
LCS
44%
24%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SCA
1 - 0
EAS
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SCA
2 - 0
EAS
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
HVA
2 - 4
SCA
26%
23%
51%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
KFC
2 - 0
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
AFS
4 - 0
KFC
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
HVA
0 - 0
KFC
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
KFC
2 - 0
SHS
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
KFC
0 - 1
WOR
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |