South China AA vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
WTP
1 - 2
SCA
21%
23%
57%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SCA
0 - 0
TMS
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 1
YOK
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
TCS
1 - 6
SCA
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 1
SHS
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CAA
4 - 1
HON
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
HON
2 - 2
TCS
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
KFC
6 - 0
HON
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
YOK
7 - 1
HON
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
PFC
5 - 1
HON
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |