South China AA vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SCA
4 - 0
TCS
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
SCA
4 - 0
LCS
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
PFC
3 - 2
SCA
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
SCA
3 - 1
HVA
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
SCA
2 - 1
VBS
91%
7%
2%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2009 |
CAA
2 - 3
PFC
44%
23%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
WTP
1 - 4
CAA
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
CAA
0 - 1
SHS
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CAA
6 - 1
SHE
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
CAA
3 - 1
FRA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |