South Adelaide Panthers vs Para Hills Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
22
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 62.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 0
SAP
71%
16%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 3
NEM
8%
16%
76%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CRO
5 - 3
SAP
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 4
ADE
21%
19%
60%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 3
SAP
79%
13%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
CAM
12%
20%
68%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 1
PAR
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
ADE
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NEM
0 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
WHI
32%
23%
46%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |