South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
59.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
32
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
SAP
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 2
ADO
38%
23%
38%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NEM
2 - 0
SAP
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 2
CRO
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
SAP
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 6
ADE
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
NEM
12%
20%
68%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
ADE
43%
23%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 3
ADE
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 0
ADE
46%
22%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |