Sousense vs Sobrado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CIN
4 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 2
PED
30%
26%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
AMA
31%
26%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
GON
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sobrado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 2
GON
30%
27%
44%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 1
VIL
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 1
SOB
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
COI
1 - 1
SOB
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AMA
3 - 0
SOB
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |