Sousense vs Moimenta da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CIN
1 - 3
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
CES
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RDA
2 - 1
SOU
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MOI
1 - 1
EST
17%
23%
61%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GON
0 - 0
MOI
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOI
0 - 4
SAL
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 68 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MOI
0 - 1
UNM
7%
14%
79%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
MOI
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |