Sousense vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 0
SOU
71%
18%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
CES
42%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 1
SOU
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACV
1 - 0
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
BEN
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 1
LUS
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LUS
4 - 4
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
LUS
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OPE
3 - 2
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |