Sousense vs Estarreja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GON
1 - 1
SOU
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
SAL
14%
23%
64%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
SOU
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
COI
2 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
MOI
70%
17%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
GON
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 2
EST
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 5
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
COI
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |