Sousense vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FAM
5 - 0
SOU
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
VAR
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
MIR
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 2
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FAF
4 - 0
SOU
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
FAF
31%
29%
40%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
CES
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 0
CES
73%
18%
9%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
VAR
21%
25%
54%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |