Sousense vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 1
SOU
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACV
1 - 0
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
TOC
43%
25%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
COI
0 - 0
SOU
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
BEN
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAM
3 - 1
CES
44%
23%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
ADN
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
CES
43%
24%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CES
3 - 2
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |