Sousense vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 0
SOU
62%
22%
17%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 3
FEL
26%
29%
45%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
3 - 0
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OLE
3 - 0
SOU
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
CES
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 2
GON
32%
23%
44%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 3
MOR
3%
8%
89%
|
32 | 72 | 40 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 2
CAN
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 1
AMA
15%
22%
63%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAN
3 - 0
RES
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |