Sousense vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
SOB
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CIN
4 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 2
PED
30%
26%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
AMA
31%
26%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
PED
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMA
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
AMA
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
COI
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
AMA
31%
26%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |