Sousense vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
PAM
3 - 2
SOU
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TOU
3 - 1
SOU
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
SAN
22%
24%
55%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
COI
1 - 4
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
CIN
35%
28%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 1
TOU
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
COI
4 - 3
ADN
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 1
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PAM
1 - 0
ADN
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 0
SAN
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |