Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-2
Sousa vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
67.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
SOU
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAM
3 - 2
SOU
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
SOU
6 - 0
QUE
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
SOU
30%
27%
44%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 2
SOU
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 2
MAD
83%
12%
4%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
RES
0 - 1
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FRI
0 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
VAS
4 - 0
MAC
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 6
VAS
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |