Sousa vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
FEI
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
SOU
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
FLU
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
BOT
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 1
SPO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 3
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |