Sousa vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
SOU
12%
23%
65%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 2
TRE
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 0
CRZ
11%
23%
66%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 0
CAM
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CSP
1 - 0
SOU
13%
23%
64%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
PET
3 - 2
CAS
15%
22%
63%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
PET
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
CEN
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
SAN
24%
26%
51%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
PET
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |