Sousa vs Nacional de Patos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
SOU
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
CAM
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
PER
0 - 2
SOU
22%
21%
57%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
BOT
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
NAC
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 1
NAC
67%
21%
12%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 2
ATL
31%
25%
45%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |