Sousa vs EC de Patos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PER
0 - 0
SOU
9%
15%
76%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
CAM
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
3 - 1
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 0
BOT
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
DPB
0 - 2
SOU
24%
21%
54%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
EC de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ECP
0 - 1
BOT
17%
23%
60%
|
23 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TRE
3 - 0
ECP
68%
21%
11%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
ECP
0 - 1
SAN
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ECP
52%
24%
25%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 0
ECP
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |