Sousa vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
CSP
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 2
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
IPB
2 - 3
SOU
21%
21%
59%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
AUT
0 - 1
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 3
SPO
6%
15%
79%
|
40 | 76 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
NAU
5 - 0
CEN
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 2
SAL
16%
25%
59%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
5 - 1
CEN
85%
12%
4%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 4
CEN
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |