Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
SOU
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 1
SOU
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 0
SCL
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 2
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 1
SOU
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
CAM
83%
13%
5%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
SOU
84%
12%
4%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
4 - 1
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOT
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
IMP
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |