Sousa vs Auto Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
12%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 1
BOT
21%
27%
52%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
SOU
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 2
SOU
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Auto Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
AUT
1 - 0
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
AUT
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
AUT
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 2
BOT
13%
24%
63%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
AUT
0 - 1
SPC
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |