Sousa vs Atlético Cajazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
12%
20%
68%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
SOU
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 1
SOU
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 0
SCL
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 2
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cajazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 0
ATL
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
SPC
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 0
CSP
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
ATL
19%
23%
59%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 1
SOU
47%
27%
27%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |