Sousa vs Atlético Cajazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CSP
1 - 0
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
LUC
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
AUT
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 1
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cajazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
AUT
34%
26%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
ATL
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LUC
3 - 2
ATL
15%
20%
66%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
3 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |