Sousa vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
SOU
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
TRE
35%
28%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CEN
0 - 0
SOU
32%
28%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 0
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 2
ARN
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 1
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
ABC
25%
25%
51%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
ABC
9 - 1
CAU
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
ABC
0 - 1
FLA
3%
12%
86%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 1
ABC
11%
20%
68%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |