Sourense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 0
SOU
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
TOU
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
UDL
4 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 5
UDL
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 1
ANG
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |