Sourense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
TOU
38%
26%
37%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PAM
2 - 4
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 1
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 5
BEN
26%
25%
48%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
BEN
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 2
SER
21%
25%
55%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
NAV
30%
26%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 3
SER
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
ADM
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |