Sourense vs Pombal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 1
POM
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ADN
3 - 2
SOU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
POM
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
POM
2 - 1
NAV
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 1
POM
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
POM
4 - 4
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 0
POM
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |