Sourense vs Pampilhosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
ALC
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
PEN
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
SOU
14%
20%
66%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
BEN
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
4 - 1
POM
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
PAM
62%
22%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAM
1 - 1
TOC
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 1
PAM
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 3
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
PAM
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |