Sourense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
OLI
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
POM
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 3
NAV
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAM
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
NAV
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 2
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
POM
2 - 1
NAV
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |