Sourense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 0
MOR
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 0
ADM
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SOU
5 - 1
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 1
OLI
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 0
NAV
15%
22%
62%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAN
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 2
NAV
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAM
3 - 1
NAV
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |