Sourense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAN
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
CAR
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
SOU
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 6
PAM
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 1
NAV
23%
26%
52%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
7%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
0 - 0
NAV
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAV
12%
21%
68%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |