Sourense vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 1
POM
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ADN
3 - 2
SOU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 0
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
TOU
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
NAV
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
MOR
70%
19%
12%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
POM
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |