Sourense vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
LEX
12%
21%
67%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
SER
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
UDL
3 - 0
SOU
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 3
GAF
13%
19%
69%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
GAF
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 0
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 1
GAF
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |