Sourense vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
SOU
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 6
PAM
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 0
ADM
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 2
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
ADN
55%
22%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 0
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
NAV
16%
23%
61%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
5 - 0
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +2 |