Sourense vs Manteigas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
CAR
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
SOU
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 6
PAM
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 0
ADM
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manteigas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 3
BEN
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADN
2 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAV
12%
21%
68%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |