Sourense vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
SOU
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 0
PAM
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
SOU
32%
27%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ADN
0 - 0
OLI
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NAV
2 - 0
ADN
72%
18%
9%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ADN
2 - 3
BEN
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 3
ADN
21%
23%
55%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ADN
1 - 3
POM
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |