Alcobendas vs Carranza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcobendas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 1
ALC
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
AVA
56%
23%
21%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 0
ALC
22%
23%
56%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
NPI
68%
19%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JUS
1 - 1
ALC
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
RCA
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
DAG
62%
20%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 1
CAR
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
AVA
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ADE
0 - 2
CAR
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |